Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S.
- Current leader
- Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027 26%
- Largest 24h move
- Beto O'Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027 +0%
- 24h volume
- 2.6K
- Liquidity
- 990.1K
Top candidates
71 outcomes
Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027
26%
0% 24h
Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027
22%
0% 24h
J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027
17%
0% 24h
Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027
16%
0% 24h
Beto O'Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027
15%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027
14%
0%
J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027
13%
0%
Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027
13%
0%
Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027
13%
0%
Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027
13%
0%
Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027
13%
0%
Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027
12%
0%
Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027
12%
0%
John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027
12%
0%
Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027
11%
0%
Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027
11%
0%
Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027
11%
0%
Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027
11%
0%
Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027
11%
0%
Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027
10%
0%
Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027
10%
0%
Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027
10%
0%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027
10%
0%
Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027
10%
0%
Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027
9%
0%
Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027
9%
0%
Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027
9%
0%
Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027
9%
0%
Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027
9%
0%
Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027
8%
0%
Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027
8%
0%
Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027
8%
0%
Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027
8%
0%
John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027
8%
0%
Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027
8%
0%
Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027
7%
0%
Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027
6%
0%
Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027
5%
0%
Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027
5%
0%
Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027
5%
0%
Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027
5%
0%
Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027
5%
0%
Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027
4%
0%
Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027
4%
0%
Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027
4%
0%
Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027
4%
0%
Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027
4%
0%
Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027
3%
0%
LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027
2%
0%
Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027
2%
0%
MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027
2%
0%
Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027
1%
0%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027
1%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027 probability of 12%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027 moved higher from 15.5% to 25.5% (+10.0 points) between 2026-06-23T00:00:12.000Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.252Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027" outcome in "Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?" made a sharp move from 15.5% to 25.5% between 2026-06-23T00:00:12.000Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:18.252Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +10.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.