Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027 22%
- Largest 24h move
- Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027 -3%
- 24h volume
- 2.7K
- Liquidity
- 112.2K
Top candidates
12 outcomes
Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027
22%
-1% 24h
Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027
18%
0% 24h
Jordan join the Abraham Accords before 2027
16%
+1% 24h
Qatar join the Abraham Accords before 2027
15%
-0% 24h
Pakistan join the Abraham Accords before 2027
14%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027
14%
+1%
Egypt join the Abraham Accords before 2027
13%
-1%
Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027
11%
+1%
Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027
11%
-1%
Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027
11%
-3%
Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027
10%
-1%
Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027
8%
-0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027 probability of 19%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline