Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes".
- Current leader
- Turkey in 2026 96%
- Largest 24h move
- Portugal in 2026 -14%
- 24h volume
- 2.7K
- Liquidity
- 75.6K
Top candidates
23 outcomes
Turkey in 2026
96%
0% 24h
Ireland in 2026
64%
+4% 24h
the United Kingdom in 2026
59%
0% 24h
Portugal in 2026
45%
-14% 24h
Germany in 2026
44%
-9% 24h
Show all outcomes
South Korea in 2026
37%
+14%
Saudi Arabia in 2026
33%
0%
Italy in 2026
28%
+1%
India in 2026
22%
+2%
Japan in 2026
21%
+11%
Canada in 2026
20%
0%
Israel in 2026
18%
+1%
Syria in 2026
17%
0%
North Korea in 2026
15%
0%
Pakistan in 2026
14%
0%
Lebanon in 2026
13%
0%
Russia in 2026
12%
0%
Ukraine in 2026
12%
0%
Belarus in 2026
12%
0%
Venezuela in 2026
11%
-3%
Mexico in 2026
10%
0%
Oman in 2026
10%
0%
Taiwan in 2026
3%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 1 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If U.S. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Turkey in 2026 probability of 100%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026 moved higher from 6.3% to 12.7% (+6.3 points) between 2026-06-23T19:22:14.236Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:14.236Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026" outcome in "Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?" made a sharp move from 6.3% to 12.7% between 2026-06-23T19:22:14.236Z and 2026-06-24T19:22:14.236Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +6.3 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.