Which CEOs will be out before 2027?
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027 13%
- Largest 24h move
- Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027 +1%
- 24h volume
- 522.7
- Liquidity
- 17.1K
Top candidates
5 outcomes
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027
13%
+1% 24h
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027
9%
+0% 24h
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027
9%
0% 24h
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027
8%
0% 24h
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027
5%
+0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027 probability of 8%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline