Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
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- Current leader
- Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026 81%
- Largest 24h move
- Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026 +8%
- 24h volume
- 0
- Liquidity
- 0
Top candidates
23 outcomes
Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
81%
-4% 24h
Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
51%
0% 24h
Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
45%
+8% 24h
The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
28%
+1% 24h
Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
28%
-2% 24h
Show all outcomes
Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
28%
-4%
Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
23%
+1%
Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
23%
+2%
Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
20%
+4%
Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
14%
-1%
SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
13%
-2%
Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
13%
+2%
Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
12%
—
Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
10%
—
Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
10%
—
Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
8%
—
Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
7%
—
Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
6%
—
A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
5%
—
Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
3%
—
Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
3%
—
Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
3%
—
Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026
3%
—
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Still buildingMariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026 is 81%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced updates for...
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline
Significant updates
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