What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
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- Current leader
- 50% 50%
- Largest 24h move
- -25.5 pp
- 24h volume
- 2.5
- Liquidity
- 16.2
Top candidates
1 outcome
Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week?
50%
-25.5 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see:
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week? — probability rises to 50%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 50%, up 23.5 percentage points from 26.5% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Latest update
Will Trump say "Blowing it away" this week? — probability rises to 50%
The tracked probability rose to 50%, up 23.5 percentage points from 26.5% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- Check dated recordings or transcripts for the exact words and the rules' qualifying window; do not assume a public appearance is scheduled.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
This contract concerns the named person's spoken use of the terms listed in the market. Written usages do not count. The selected evidence does not establish a relevant utterance or explain the price change.
What changed
Probability moved from 26.5% to 50% (+23.5 percentage points). Observations were 29 minutes 27 seconds apart: 2026-10-07 11:41:15 UTC to 2026-10-07 12:10:42 UTC. The stated rules end at 2026-10-12 03:59:00 UTC, 4 days 15 hours 48 minutes 17 seconds after the last observation. Timing alone does not explain the move.
What to watch next
Check dated recordings or transcripts for the exact words and the rules' qualifying window; do not assume a public appearance is scheduled.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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