By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel.
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 4.5 percentage points from 95.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 96% → 100%
+4.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 4.5 percentage points from 95.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 95.5% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 95.5% to 100% (+4.5 percentage points). Observations were 20 minutes 9 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 17:27:34 UTC to 2026-10-14 17:47:44 UTC.
Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani says the listed term during his next livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office official YouTube Channel.
Resolves No
Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
If no such announcement happens by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If Mamdani officially ceases to be New York City mayor for any length of time by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers to the first livestream where Zohran Mamdani speaks after market creation from the NYC Mayor's Office (.
Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani speaks will qualify. Any livestream posted to that channel where Zohran Mamdani does not speak will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be footage of the relevant announcement. For full rules, see:
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Economy" or "Economic" during his next livestream? — probability rises to 100%
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