activeEconomyWarsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28 -33% 24h

What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?

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Current leader
Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28 80%
Largest 24h move
Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28 -33%
24h volume
0
Liquidity
144.4

Top candidates

20 outcomes

Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

80%

0% 24h

Warsh say "Challenge" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

67%

-3% 24h

Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

63%

+2% 24h

Warsh say "2008" or "Financial Crisis" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

57%

-9% 24h

Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

56%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Warsh say "Regime" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

56%

0%

Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

55%

+6%

Warsh say "CapEx" or "Capital Expenditure" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

53%

-33%

Warsh say "Prediction" or "Predictive" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

41%

0%

Warsh say "Integrity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

37%

+13%

Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

35%

+12%

Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

35%

-8%

Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

33%

Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

25%

Warsh say "Stable" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

18%

Warsh say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

18%

Warsh say "Gold" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

8%

Warsh say "Trump" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

7%

Warsh say "Too Late" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28

6%

Warsh's remarks not air

5%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Still building

Warsh say "Productivity" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28 is 80%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced updates...

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Latest update

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Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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Unresolved questions

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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