Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).
Current leader
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1 outcome
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 93.8%, down 4.3 percentage points from 98.1% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 98% → 94%
-4.3 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 93.8%, down 4.3 percentage points from 98.1% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 98.1% to 93.8% (-4.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T14:30:27.868Z to 2026-10-19T14:47:53.652Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 98.1% → 93.8%
Probability moved from 98.1% to 93.8% (-4.3 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 26 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 14:30:27 UTC to 2026-10-19 14:47:53 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 98.6% to 94.3% (-4.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:31:48.088Z to 2026-10-19T02:47:02.810Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 91.55% to 98.55% (+7 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:01:14.578Z to 2026-10-19T02:18:02.573Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 97.95% to 94.65% (-3.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T23:17:19.620Z to 2026-10-18T23:30:07.578Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 98.4% to 94.6% (-3.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T22:16:38.857Z to 2026-10-18T22:31:28.518Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 94.5% to 98% (+3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T20:01:32.936Z to 2026-10-18T20:17:48.325Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 91.25% to 94.6% (+3.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T14:15:26.435Z to 2026-10-18T14:30:36.489Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 55.5% to 89% (+33.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T12:46:27.319Z to 2026-10-18T13:00:35.277Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, October 20, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix show. Shows will be primarily ranked by chart ranking.
If two or more shows are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the shows' listed titles. This market will resolve to the show that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Living timeline · 11 significant updates
Will "Love Is Blind: Boston" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? — probability falls to 93.8%
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