Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyWill "Doomerism" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? — probability rises to 100%
The tracked probability rose to 100%, up 11.0 percentage points from 89% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 89% → 100%
+11.0 pp