What price will XRP hit in October?
Current leader
44.5%
45%
1 outcome
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 44.5%, down 10.0 percentage points from 54.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 55% → 45%
-10.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 54.5%, down 10.0 percentage points from 64.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 54.5% to 44.5% (-10 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T03:31:18.242Z to 2026-10-30T03:46:24.688Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 54.5% → 44.5%
Probability moved from 54.5% to 44.5% (-10 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 6 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 03:31:18 UTC to 2026-10-30 03:46:24 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 64.5% to 54.5% (-10 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T03:18:45.341Z to 2026-10-30T03:31:18.242Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 71% to 64.5% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T03:01:31.487Z to 2026-10-30T03:18:45.341Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 66.5% to 71% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:46:36.296Z to 2026-10-30T03:01:31.487Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 82.5% to 67.5% (-15 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:15:54.828Z to 2026-10-30T02:30:12.250Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 90% to 84% (-6 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:31:50.829Z to 2026-10-30T02:03:49.524Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 68.5% to 90% (+21.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:04:36.222Z to 2026-10-30T01:31:50.829Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 77% to 68.5% (-8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T00:49:15.817Z to 2026-10-30T01:04:36.222Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What price will XRP hit in October?
Living timeline · 8 significant updates
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in October? — probability falls to 44.5%
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