What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
Current leader
45.5%
46%
3 outcomes
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in October?
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $44 in October?
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $32 in October?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 45.5%, up 8.5 percentage points from 37% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 37% → 46%
+8.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 45.5%, up 8.5 percentage points from 37% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37% to 45.5% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 37% → 45.5%
Probability moved from 37% to 45.5% (+8.5 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50.5% to 38% (-12.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5.5% to 50% (+44.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z to 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 29.85% to 18% (-11.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z to 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 17.95% to 29.85% (+11.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z to 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 29.55% to 17.95% (-11.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z to 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 18.05% to 29.5% (+11.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:02:30.010Z to 2026-10-21T03:17:32.619Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 31.85% to 17.95% (-13.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:30:53.499Z to 2026-10-21T01:45:36.198Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 in October? — probability rises to 45.5%
Keep exploring
What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PlungeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
SurgeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PlungeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
SurgeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PlungeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
SurgeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PlungeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
SurgeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PlungeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PlungeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
SurgeWhat will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in October 2026?
PolySays is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or operated by Polymarket. PolySays provides informational and educational content only and does not provide financial, betting, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prediction markets involve risk, and regulatory status varies by jurisdiction.
Source market
Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.
View on PolymarketPolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.