What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026?
Current leader
50.5%
51%
2 outcomes
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $204 in October?
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 in October?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 44.5%, down 10.5 percentage points from 55% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 55% → 45%
-10.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 44.5%, down 10.5 percentage points from 55% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 55% to 44.5% (-10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 55% → 44.5%
Probability moved from 55% to 44.5% (-10.5 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 48.5% to 53.5% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 37.5% to 50% (+12.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 54.5% to 48.5% (-6 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z to 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 51% to 37.5% (-13.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z to 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 48.5% to 53.5% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z to 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 38.5% to 52.5% (+14 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z to 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 53.5% to 48.5% (-5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:17:32.619Z to 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit in October 2026?
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 in October? — probability falls to 44.5%
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