What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?
Current leader
5%
5%
2 outcomes
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 in October?
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in October?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 2.8%, down 43.2 percentage points from 46% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 46% → 3%
-43.2 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 2.8%, down 43.2 percentage points from 46% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46% to 2.8% (-43.2 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T23:37:48.420Z to 2026-10-29T23:48:23.770Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 46% → 2.8%
Probability moved from 46% to 2.8% (-43.2 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 35 seconds apart: 2026-10-29 23:37:48 UTC to 2026-10-29 23:48:23 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.3% to 46% (+42.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T22:49:46.209Z to 2026-10-29T23:37:48.420Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Will [link omitted], Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 in October? — probability falls to 2.8%
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