closedSports

Valorant Team to Win an International in 2026

Post

Current leader

Largest 24h move-49.4 pp 24h

24h volume: $183.5
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Jan 1, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will FUT Esports Win an International Event in 2026?
-49.4 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 17

Will FUT Esports Win an International Event in 2026? — probability falls to 0.65%

The tracked probability fell to 0.65%, down 27.3 percentage points from 27.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 28% → 1%

-27.3 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 7:20 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 27.9% to 0.65% (-27.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T07:02:41.301Z to 2026-10-17T07:17:53.738Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 27.9% → 0.65%
What changed
Probability moved from 27.9% to 0.65% (-27.25 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 12 seconds apart: 2026-10-17 07:02:41 UTC to 2026-10-17 07:17:53 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.95% to 27.9% (-22.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T06:30:44.035Z to 2026-10-17T06:45:19.657Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 6:04 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 27.9% to 49.75% (+21.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T05:47:52.691Z to 2026-10-17T06:01:37.857Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.7% to 27.9% (-21.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T04:45:26.711Z to 2026-10-17T05:02:12.771Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 4:48 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 27.9% to 49.7% (+21.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T04:32:33.104Z to 2026-10-17T04:45:26.711Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 3:50 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.9% to 27.9% (-22 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T03:30:27.328Z to 2026-10-17T03:47:07.762Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 3:21 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 27.9% to 48.4% (+20.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T03:02:42.465Z to 2026-10-17T03:18:51.248Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 17, 2026, 2:21 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.6% to 30.15% (-19.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T02:00:10.057Z to 2026-10-17T02:19:25.711Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

Otherwise, this market will resolve "No." For the purposes of this market, "qualifying international VALORANT event" means any of the following, and only the following: Valorant Masters Santiago 2026 (February 28 – March 15, 2026) Valorant Masters London 2026 (June 6 – June 21, 2026) Esports World Cup 2026 — VALORANT (July 2 – July 12, 2026) Valorant Champions 2026, Shanghai (September 24 – October 18, 2026) In the case of a tie, the market will resolve to "Yes" for the team whose name appears first alphabetically.

Resolves No

If the team wins none of the listed events, this market resolves "No." If all qualifying events are cancelled, or are postponed such that no champion is determined for any of them by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed team is crowned champion (wins the Grand Final) of at least one qualifying international VALORANT event concluding in the 2026 calendar year. This market resolves "Yes" as soon as the team wins any one qualifying event; winning more than one is not required.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Riot Games VALORANT Esports website ( and, for the Esports World Cup, the official EWC website (. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will FUT Esports Win an International Event in 2026? — probability falls to 0.65%

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