This market will resolve to the next team OXY officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Current leader
55.5%
56%
2 outcomes
Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027?
Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 55.55%, down 12.3 percentage points from 67.8% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 68% → 56%
-12.3 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 55.55%, down 12.3 percentage points from 67.8% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 67.8% to 55.55% (-12.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 67.8% → 55.55%
Probability moved from 67.8% to 55.55% (-12.25 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 58.8% to 67.8% (+9 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z to 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 67.75% to 58.8% (-8.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 61% to 67.8% (+6.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z to 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 67.7% to 61% (-6.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:17:32.619Z to 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 76.9% to 68.05% (-8.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T01:45:36.198Z to 2026-10-21T02:00:28.960Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 18.3% to 12.25% (-6.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:33:27.573Z to 2026-10-20T21:47:40.010Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 12.25% to 18.3% (+6.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T21:19:32.293Z to 2026-10-20T21:33:27.573Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the next team OXY officially joins by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If OXY does not officially join a new team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Cloud9". If OXY joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".
If OXY is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Cloud9 and/or the acquiring team.
A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will OXY play for Sentinels in 2027? — probability falls to 55.55%
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