Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyWill Qizilqum Zarafshon win on 2026-10-15? — probability rises to 99.95%
This outcome's observed probability increased by 10.95 percentage points to 99.95%, from 89%.
Yes: 89% → 100%
+10.9 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This event is for the upcoming Superliga (Uzbekistan) game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between FC Andijon and Qizilqum Zarafshon.
Current leader
100%
100%
1 outcome
Will Qizilqum Zarafshon win on 2026-10-15?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThis outcome's observed probability increased by 10.95 percentage points to 99.95%, from 89%.
Yes: 89% → 100%
+10.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThis outcome's observed probability increased by 10.95 percentage points to 99.95%, from 89%.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
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Living timeline
The market observations support the prices and change shown here. A price move alone cannot confirm a real-world result or explain traders' decisions.
The measured move
Yes: 89.0% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 89% to 99.95% (+10.95 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 46 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 15:55:48 UTC to 2026-10-15 16:10:34 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
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Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This event is for the upcoming Superliga (Uzbekistan) game, scheduled for Thursday, October 15, 2026 between FC Andijon and Qizilqum Zarafshon.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will Qizilqum Zarafshon win on 2026-10-15? — probability rises to 99.95%
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