Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlySporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: O/U 0.5 — probability rises to 100%
The observed probability rose from 90.5% to 100%, an increase of 9.5 percentage points.
Over: 91% → 100%
+9.5 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 10 at 5:00 PM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
5 outcomes
Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: O/U 0.5
Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: Birmingham Legion FC O/U 0.5
Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: 1st Half O/U 4.5
Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: Sporting Jax 1st Half O/U 2.5
Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: Sporting Jax 1st Half O/U 3.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability rose from 90.5% to 100%, an increase of 9.5 percentage points.
Over: 91% → 100%
+9.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThis outcome's observed probability decreased by 40.5 percentage points to 9.5%, from 50%.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
Over: 90.5% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 90.5% to 100% (+9.5 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes apart: 2026-10-15 03:02:51 UTC to 2026-10-15 03:12:51 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the USL Championship game, scheduled for October 10 at 5:00 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC: O/U 0.5 — probability rises to 100%
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