US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 88%
- Leader 24h
- +2%
- 24h volume
- 24.7
- Liquidity
- 15.8K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
88%
+2% 24h
Yes
13%
-2% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government officially recognizes Russian sovereignty over any portion of Ukrainian territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. Ukrainian territory is defined as any portion of Ukraine as recognized by the UN at the start of the present conflict on February 24, 2022, including Crimea.
The resolution source will be official U.S. government statements and credible reporting from major news organizations.
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Odds chart showing latest No probability of 91%.
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