US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
- Current leader
- No 73%
- Leader 24h
- -1%
- 24h volume
- 1.6
- Liquidity
- 1.4K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
73%
-1% 24h
Yes
27%
+1% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A combined license must be clearly identified as such and documented in official NRC releases.
Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) issues a new combined license (COL) for the construction and operation of a nuclear power plant by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Only initial issuances count; amendments, renewals, or partial approvals do not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 83%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline