Luxembourg vs. Bulgaria
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Luxembourg and Bulgaria.
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- Current leader
- 100% 100%
- Largest 24h move
- +73.5 pp
- 24h volume
- 99.2K
- Liquidity
- 68.1K
Top candidates
1 outcome
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06?
100%
+73.5 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This event is for the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for Tuesday, October 6, 2026 between Luxembourg and Bulgaria.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06? — probability rises to 97.2%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 97.2%, up 4.7 percentage points from 92.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Latest update
Will Bulgaria win on 2026-10-06? — probability rises to 97.2%
The tracked probability rose to 97.2%, up 4.7 percentage points from 92.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
What changed
Probability moved from 92.5% to 97.2% (+4.7 percentage points). Observations were 8 minutes 59 seconds apart: 2026-10-06 20:11:12 UTC to 2026-10-06 20:20:11 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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