More markets for the Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00 AM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
3 outcomes
Spread: FK Polissia (-1.5)
FK Polissia vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: 1st Half O/U 1.5
FK Polissia vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 49.9 percentage points from 50.1% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 50% → 100%
+49.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 100%, up 49.9 percentage points from 50.1% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 50.1% to 100% (+49.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T23:01:39.038Z to 2026-10-18T23:17:19.620Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 50.1% → 100%
Probability moved from 50.1% to 100% (+49.9 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 41 seconds apart: 2026-10-18 23:01:39 UTC to 2026-10-18 23:17:19 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 68.4% to 100% (+31.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T23:01:39.038Z to 2026-10-18T23:17:19.620Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 99.65% to 68.4% (-31.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T22:16:38.857Z to 2026-10-18T22:31:28.518Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 56.15% to 50.05% (-6.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T14:01:47.004Z to 2026-10-18T14:15:26.435Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 90.05% to 56.15% (-33.9 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T13:46:17.155Z to 2026-10-18T14:01:47.004Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 99.55% to 90.05% (-9.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T12:30:07.637Z to 2026-10-18T12:46:27.319Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 65% to 0.05% (-64.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T11:00:32.425Z to 2026-10-18T11:31:36.134Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Ukraine Premier Liha game, scheduled for October 18 at 6:00 AM ET.
Living timeline · 7 significant updates
FK Polissia vs. FK Dynamo Kyiv: Both Teams to Score in First Half — probability rises to 100%
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