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Dana White's Contender Series: Jason Asher vs. Greg Foster (Featherweight, Main Card)

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market will resolve to "Jason Asher" if Jason Asher is officially declared the winner of the fight against Greg Foster at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026.

Current leader

50%

50%

Largest 24h move-2.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will the fight end in a decision or draw?

    -2.5 pp 24h50%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will the fight end in a decision or draw? — probability falls to 50%

The tracked probability fell to 50%, down 6.0 percentage points from 56.05% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 56% → 50%

-6.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 50%, down 6.0 percentage points from 56.05% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Yes: 56.0% → 50.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 56.05% to 50% (-6.05 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 51 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 04:00:22 UTC to 2026-10-14 04:10:14 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official league or team updates, roster or availability news, and whether later observations hold the new level.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve to "Jason Asher" if Jason Asher is officially declared the winner of the fight against Greg Foster at Dana White's Contender Series: Season 10, Week 10, scheduled for October 13, 2026. It will resolve to "Greg Foster" if Greg Foster is officially declared the winner.

If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 27, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Will the fight end in a decision or draw? — probability falls to 50%

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