By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 12:45 PM ET.
Current leader
0%
0%
4 outcomes
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 0.5
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: Real Sociedad de Fútbol O/U 4.5
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: RU Saint-Gilloise O/U 4.5
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 8.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 3.5%, down 13.0 percentage points from 16.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 17% → 4%
-13.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 3.5%, down 13.0 percentage points from 16.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 16.95% to 0.4% (-16.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:30:25.774Z to 2026-10-15T18:45:28.046Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 45% to 0.45% (-44.55 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:30:25.774Z to 2026-10-15T18:45:28.046Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.5% to 0.45% (-49.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:30:25.774Z to 2026-10-15T18:45:28.046Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 22% to 45% (+23 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:20:53.194Z to 2026-10-15T18:30:25.774Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 23% to 49.5% (+26.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:20:53.194Z to 2026-10-15T18:30:25.774Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.5% to 17% (+13.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T18:00:48.689Z to 2026-10-15T18:10:50.343Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 12:45 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: RU Saint-Gilloise O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 3.5%
Keep exploring
RU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
PlungeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
PlungeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
PlungeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
SurgeRU Saint-Gilloise vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol - More Markets
PolySays is independent and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, sponsored by, or operated by Polymarket. PolySays provides informational and educational content only and does not provide financial, betting, investment, tax, or legal advice. Prediction markets involve risk, and regulatory status varies by jurisdiction.
Source market
Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.
View on PolymarketPolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.