More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
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7 outcomes
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Jagiellonia Białystok 1st Half O/U 1.5
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Ararat-Armenia FA 1st Half O/U 0.5
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: Jagiellonia Białystok O/U 5.5
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 7.5
0%
-1.3 pp
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 8.5
0%
-0.4 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.15%, down 26.8 percentage points from 26.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 27% → 0%
-26.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.15%, down 26.8 percentage points from 26.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 26.9% to 0.15% (-26.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z to 2026-10-15T21:16:59.067Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 26.9% → 0.15%
Probability moved from 26.9% to 0.15% (-26.75 percentage points). Observations were 27 minutes 18 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 20:49:40 UTC to 2026-10-15 21:16:59 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 17.55% to 0.05% (-17.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z to 2026-10-15T21:00:32.533Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.45% to 0.5% (-48.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z to 2026-10-15T21:00:32.533Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.45% to 26.9% (+26.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:31:49.938Z to 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.25% to 17.55% (+14.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:31:49.938Z to 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.5% to 0.7% (-5.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z to 2026-10-15T20:17:59.729Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 19.5% to 49.5% (+30 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z to 2026-10-15T20:17:59.729Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.5% to 6.5% (+6 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:49:04.724Z to 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: O/U 8.5 — probability falls to 0.15%
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