By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
7 outcomes
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 2.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 3.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC 2nd Half O/U 0.5
100%
+65.5 pp
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 3.5
0%
-46.5 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 50.0 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 50% → 0%
-50.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 50.0 percentage points from 50% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.05% (-49.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z to 2026-10-15T21:00:32.533Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 50% → 0.05%
Probability moved from 50% to 0.05% (-49.95 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 52 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 20:49:40 UTC to 2026-10-15 21:00:32 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 20% to 50% (+30 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:31:49.938Z to 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 23.5% to 20% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:17:59.729Z to 2026-10-15T20:31:49.938Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3% to 23.5% (+20.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z to 2026-10-15T20:17:59.729Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.5% to 3% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:49:04.724Z to 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 14% to 9.5% (-4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:20:35.747Z to 2026-10-15T19:49:04.724Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 18.5% to 14% (-4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:10:45.589Z to 2026-10-15T19:20:35.747Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 36.5% to 18.5% (-18 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:00:25.790Z to 2026-10-15T19:10:45.589Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC: Celtic FC O/U 3.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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