activeSportsCloses Mar 20

UEFA Europa League: Team to advance to 2027 quarters

Post

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal.

Current leader

4.8%

Largest 24h move-9.6 pp 24h

24h volume: $209.6
Liquidity: $1.6K
Scheduled close: Mar 20, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Torreense reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal?
-9.6 pp 24h5%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 21

Will Torreense reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? — probability falls to 4.8%

The tracked probability fell to 4.8%, down 9.9 percentage points from 14.75% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 15% → 5%

-9.9 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 21, 2026, 9:35 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 14.75% to 4.8% (-9.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 14.75% → 4.8%
What changed
Probability moved from 14.75% to 4.8% (-9.95 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 8:35 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 30.2% to 13.95% (-16.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T20:16:53.485Z to 2026-10-19T20:32:04.311Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 7:19 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 17.8% to 30.05% (+12.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T07:02:22.876Z to 2026-10-19T07:17:00.999Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 6:49 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 30.05% to 17.95% (-12.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T06:30:12.358Z to 2026-10-19T06:47:20.027Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 5:49 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 17.8% to 32.55% (+14.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T05:30:12.673Z to 2026-10-19T05:47:09.235Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 5:21 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 32.2% to 17.75% (-14.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T05:02:28.770Z to 2026-10-19T05:18:01.234Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 5:05 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 17.75% to 32.2% (+14.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T04:45:52.933Z to 2026-10-19T05:02:28.770Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 4:32 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 29.85% to 17.85% (-12 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T04:15:21.343Z to 2026-10-19T04:30:04.529Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves No

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the UEFA Europa League quarterfinal (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal. If the 2027 UEFA Europa League is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Torreense reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? — probability falls to 4.8%

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