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UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

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Current leader
Spain 23%
Largest 24h move
Belgium -1%
24h volume
24.8
Liquidity
484K

Top candidates

55 outcomes

Spain

23%

0% 24h

France

20%

0% 24h

England

16%

0% 24h

Germany

10%

0% 24h

Portugal

10%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Netherlands

7%

0%

Belgium

6%

-1%

Armenia

6%

0%

Italy

4%

0%

Norway

4%

-0%

Switzerland

2%

0%

Croatia

2%

0%

Greece

2%

—

Turkey

1%

—

Denmark

1%

—

Sweden

1%

—

Austria

1%

—

Hungary

1%

—

Poland

1%

—

Czech Republic

0%

—

Wales

0%

—

Slovenia

0%

—

Iceland

0%

—

Scotland

0%

—

Serbia

0%

—

Ukraine

0%

—

Bosnia and Herzegovina

0%

—

Finland

0%

—

Georgia

0%

—

Kosovo

0%

—

Republic of Ireland

0%

—

Romania

0%

—

Albania

0%

—

Andorra

0%

—

Azerbaijan

0%

—

Belarus

0%

—

Bulgaria

0%

—

Cyprus

0%

—

Estonia

0%

0%

Faroe Islands

0%

—

Gibraltar

0%

—

Israel

0%

—

Kazakhstan

0%

—

Latvia

0%

—

Liechtenstein

0%

—

Lithuania

0%

—

Luxembourg

0%

—

Malta

0%

—

Moldova

0%

—

Montenegro

0%

—

North Macedonia

0%

—

Northern Ireland

0%

—

Russia

0%

—

San Marino

0%

—

Slovakia

0%

—

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Armenia moved higher from 0.1% to 5.5% (+5.5 points) between 2026-08-17T02:56:10.944Z and 2026-08-18T02:56:10.944Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

No major update has changed the story in 17 days.

Latest update

Armenia in UEFA EURO : market rises: Yes odds 0.1% → 5.5%

Armenia moved higher from 0.1% to 5.5% (+5.5 points) between 2026-08-17T02:56:10.944Z and 2026-08-18T02:56:10.944Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Armenia" outcome in "UEFA EURO 2028: Winner" made a sharp move from 0.1% to 5.5% between 2026-08-17T02:56:10.944Z and 2026-08-18T02:56:10.944Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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