UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League final.

Current leader

4.9%

Largest 24h move-5.0 pp 24h

24h volume: $300.8
Liquidity: $438.7
Scheduled close: May 9, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC

Top candidates

2 outcomes

Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?
-5.0 pp 24h5%
Will Feyenoord reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?
-3.6 pp 24h2%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 20

Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final? — probability falls to 5.3%

The tracked probability fell to 5.3%, down 4.6 percentage points from 9.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 10% → 5%

-4.6 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 20, 2026, 4:34 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 9.9% to 5.3% (-4.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T15:51:45.778Z to 2026-10-20T16:30:36.464Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 9.9% → 5.3%
What changed
Probability moved from 9.9% to 5.3% (-4.6 percentage points). Observations were 38 minutes 51 seconds apart: 2026-10-20 15:51:45 UTC to 2026-10-20 16:30:36 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 10:17 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1% to 6.1% (+5.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T10:01:34.905Z to 2026-10-19T10:15:56.628Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 3:34 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.05% to 1% (-5.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z to 2026-10-19T03:30:58.318Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 3:05 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.25% to 6.05% (+5.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T02:47:02.810Z to 2026-10-19T03:00:30.978Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 10:50 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.05% to 0.25% (-5.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T22:31:28.518Z to 2026-10-18T22:47:47.662Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 10:34 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 0.95% to 6.05% (+5.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T22:16:38.857Z to 2026-10-18T22:31:28.518Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 10:50 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 6.1% to 0.25% (-5.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T10:30:54.974Z to 2026-10-18T10:47:18.464Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 18, 2026, 10:33 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1% to 6.1% (+5.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T10:15:54.192Z to 2026-10-18T10:30:54.974Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League final.

Resolves No

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2027 UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Club Brugge reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final? — probability falls to 5.3%

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