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AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 14 at 3:00 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+77.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

4 outcomes

  • AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: 2nd Half O/U 4.5

    +77.0 pp 24h100%

  • AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score in First Half

    +72.5 pp 24h100%

  • AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF 2nd Half O/U 1.5

    +69.5 pp 24h100%

  • AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma 2nd Half O/U 2.5

    -50.8 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability falls to 0.05%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 15.35% at the start of the window.

AS Roma: 15% → 0%

-15.3 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 15.35% at the start of the window.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    AS Roma: 15.3% → 0.1%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 15.35% to 0.05% (-15.3 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 20 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 20:47:17 UTC to 2026-10-14 21:03:36 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

More markets for the UEFA Champions League game, scheduled for October 14 at 3:00 PM ET.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability falls to 0.05%

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Plunge

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability falls to 0.05%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Surge

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability rises to 15.35%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Plunge

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 1.45%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Surge

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability rises to 8.2%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Plunge

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 7.1%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Surge

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 40.5%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Plunge

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability falls to 0.3%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Surge

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability rises to 32.75%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Plunge

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 0.6%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Plunge

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma O/U 4.5 — probability falls to 17%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Surge

Spread: AS Roma (-4.5) — probability rises to 29.15%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

Surge

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF: AS Roma O/U 4.5 — probability rises to 21.95%

AS Roma vs. Real Madrid CF - More Markets

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