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Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor - First Team to Score

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

In the upcoming match between Umraniyespor and Boluspor, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Umraniyespor" if Umraniyespor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Current leader

95%

95%

Largest 24h move0.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$9
Scheduled close

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Boluspor to score first vs. Umraniyespor?

    0.0 pp 24h95%
  • Umraniyespor to score first vs. Boluspor?

    0.0 pp 24h50%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Umraniyespor to score first vs. Boluspor? — probability rises to 49.8%

The latest observation puts this outcome at 49.8%, compared with 0.05% at the start of the window.

Yes: 0% → 50%

+49.8 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The latest observation puts this outcome at 49.8%, compared with 0.05% at the start of the window.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.

    The measured move

    Yes: 0.1% → 49.8%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 0.05% to 49.8% (+49.75 percentage points). Observations were 25 minutes 7 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 23:52:52 UTC to 2026-10-15 00:17:59 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

In the upcoming match between Umraniyespor and Boluspor, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Umraniyespor" if Umraniyespor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Boluspor" if Boluspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Read the complete resolution rules

Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Umraniyespor to score first vs. Boluspor? — probability rises to 49.8%

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