Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyUmraniyespor to score first vs. Boluspor? — probability rises to 49.8%
The latest observation puts this outcome at 49.8%, compared with 0.05% at the start of the window.
Yes: 0% → 50%
+49.8 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
In the upcoming match between Umraniyespor and Boluspor, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Umraniyespor" if Umraniyespor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Current leader
95%
95%
2 outcomes
Boluspor to score first vs. Umraniyespor?
Umraniyespor to score first vs. Boluspor?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe latest observation puts this outcome at 49.8%, compared with 0.05% at the start of the window.
Yes: 0% → 50%
+49.8 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe latest observation puts this outcome at 49.8%, compared with 0.05% at the start of the window.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.
The measured move
Yes: 0.1% → 49.8%
Probability moved from 0.05% to 49.8% (+49.75 percentage points). Observations were 25 minutes 7 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 23:52:52 UTC to 2026-10-15 00:17:59 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming match between Umraniyespor and Boluspor, scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Umraniyespor" if Umraniyespor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Boluspor" if Boluspor are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Umraniyespor to score first vs. Boluspor? — probability rises to 49.8%
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