More markets for the Turkey 1.
Current leader
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8 outcomes
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: O/U 4.5
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: O/U 5.5
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: O/U 6.5
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: O/U 7.5
0%
-49.4 pp
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: O/U 8.5
0%
-47.4 pp
Spread: Mardin 1969 Spor (-3.5)
0%
-48.4 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 19.9 percentage points from 19.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 20% → 0%
-19.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 0.05%, down 19.9 percentage points from 19.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 19.9% to 0.05% (-19.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:45:04.419Z to 2026-10-19T19:07:38.605Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 19.9% → 0.05%
Probability moved from 19.9% to 0.05% (-19.85 percentage points). Observations were 22 minutes 34 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 18:45:04 UTC to 2026-10-19 19:07:38 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 13.2% to 0.05% (-13.15 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:45:04.419Z to 2026-10-19T19:07:38.605Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 6.95% to 19.9% (+12.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:32:45.451Z to 2026-10-19T18:45:04.419Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.5% (-49.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:32:45.451Z to 2026-10-19T18:45:04.419Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 50% to 0.5% (-49.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:32:45.451Z to 2026-10-19T18:45:04.419Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 8% to 13.2% (+5.2 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:32:45.451Z to 2026-10-19T18:45:04.419Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 16.35% to 8% (-8.35 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:17:00.373Z to 2026-10-19T18:32:45.451Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 44.15% to 50% (+5.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T18:17:00.373Z to 2026-10-19T18:32:45.451Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Turkey 1. Lig game, scheduled for October 19 at 1:00 PM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Esenler Erokspor vs. Mardin 1969 Spor: O/U 6.5 — probability falls to 0.05%
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