This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Current leader
91.5%
92%
1 outcome
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 91.5%, up 4.0 percentage points from 87.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 88% → 92%
+4.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 91.5%, up 4.0 percentage points from 87.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 87.5% to 91.5% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:03:36.740Z to 2026-10-30T01:16:44.078Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 87.5% → 91.5%
Probability moved from 87.5% to 91.5% (+4 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 7 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 01:03:36 UTC to 2026-10-30 01:16:44 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 93.5% to 90% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-29T23:39:17.560Z to 2026-10-30T00:18:36.017Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total.
In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify.
Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month? — probability rises to 91.5%
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