activeSportsCloses Jan 27

Fantasy Football: 2026-27 Top 5 Scoring QBs

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 19, 2026, 10:33 AM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named quarterback finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 5 quarterbacks by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports.

Current leader

51.8%

52%

Largest 24h move+1.4 pp 24h

24h volume: $0
Liquidity: $25.2
Scheduled close: Jan 27, 2027, 4:59 AM UTC

Top candidates

2 outcomes

Will Josh Allen finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
+1.4 pp 24h52%
Will Jake Browning finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season?
0.0 pp 24h2%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 19

Will Josh Allen finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? — probability falls to 50.45%

The tracked probability fell to 50.45%, down 44.5 percentage points from 94.9% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 95% → 50%

-44.5 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

Coverage updated Oct 19, 2026, 10:33 AM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 94.9% to 50.45% (-44.45 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T10:15:56.628Z to 2026-10-19T10:30:53.184Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 94.9% → 50.45%
What changed
Probability moved from 94.9% to 50.45% (-44.45 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 57 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 10:15:56 UTC to 2026-10-19 10:30:53 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Coverage updated Oct 15, 2026, 8:51 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 74.85% to 93.45% (+18.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:31:49.938Z to 2026-10-15T20:49:40.744Z (UTC).
Coverage updated Oct 15, 2026, 8:05 PM UTC
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 89.85% to 74.85% (-15 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:20:35.747Z to 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

Resolves No

Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No".

Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more quarterbacks are tied such that more than 5 would qualify for the top 5, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 5 quarterbacks are classified as top 5.

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (.

Maps and resolution sources

Fantasyespn.com

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Josh Allen finish as a top-5 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? — probability falls to 50.45%

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