This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named tight end finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 tight ends by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports.
Current leader
74.5%
75%
4 outcomes
Will Sam LaPorta finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
Will Tucker Kraft finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
Will Dalton Kincaid finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
Will Kyle Pitts Sr. finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 15.95%, down 15.5 percentage points from 31.45% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 31% → 16%
-15.5 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 15.95%, down 15.5 percentage points from 31.45% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 31.45% to 15.95% (-15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:17:25.794Z to 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 31.45% → 15.95%
Probability moved from 31.45% to 15.95% (-15.5 percentage points). Observations were 13 minutes 3 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 05:17:25 UTC to 2026-10-21 05:30:29 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 15.95% to 31.45% (+15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z to 2026-10-21T05:17:25.794Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 31.45% to 15.95% (-15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z to 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 15.95% to 31.45% (+15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z to 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 31.45% to 15.95% (-15.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:20:41.613Z to 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 16.95% to 30.45% (+13.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z to 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 30.45% to 15.95% (-14.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:46:22.190Z to 2026-10-21T03:02:30.010Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 15.95% to 30.45% (+14.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:17:52.020Z to 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named tight end finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season (Weeks 1 through 18) ranked among the top 12 tight ends by total fantasy points under standard PPR (points-per-reception) scoring per the default scoring of ESPN Fantasy Sports.
Resolves No
Otherwise, that market will resolve to "No".
Only regular-season games count; postseason (playoff) games are excluded. If two or more tight ends are tied such that more than 12 would qualify for the top 12, the tie will be broken by higher fantasy points per game average for the 2026 NFL regular season, and if a tie still persists, by last name in alphabetical order, so that exactly 12 tight ends are classified as top 12.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed past January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the rankings cannot be determined within this timeframe, all markets in this event will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official season-total statistics as reported by ESPN Fantasy Sports (.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will Kyle Pitts Sr. finish as a top-12 TE in the 2026-27 NFL season? — probability falls to 15.95%
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