By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer.
Current leader
100%
100%
6 outcomes
Will Dmitry Andreikin finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?
Will Vladislav Artemiev finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?
Will Fabiano Caruana finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?
Will Wesley So finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?
Will Nihal Sarin finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?
Will Hikaru Nakamura finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13?
100%
+55.0 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe observed probability rose from 90.5% to 100%, an increase of 9.5 percentage points.
Yes: 91% → 100%
+9.5 ppStory so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
Yes: 90.5% → 100.0%
Probability moved from 90.5% to 100% (+9.5 percentage points). Observations were 30 minutes 33 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 19:00:10 UTC to 2026-10-13 19:30:43 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13, 2026, according to the final standings published by the tournament organizer.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the listed player does not play, their corresponding market will resolve to "No". If this tournament is postponed after October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or final standings have not been published within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Chess.com (; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 5 significant updates
Will Nihal Sarin finish in the Top 8 of Titled Tuesday on October 13? — probability rises to 100%
Keep exploring
Titled Tuesday Top 8: October 13
SurgeTitled Tuesday Top 8: October 13
SurgeTitled Tuesday Top 8: October 13
SurgeTitled Tuesday Top 8: October 13
SurgeTitled Tuesday Top 8: October 13
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