activeSportsMirana +43% 24h

The International 2026: Most Picked Hero

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Current leader
Hoodwink 57%
Largest 24h move
Mirana +43%
24h volume
1.8K
Liquidity
10.4K

Top candidates

87 outcomes

Hoodwink

57%

-42% 24h

Mirana

25%

+43% 24h

Keeper of the Light

22%

0% 24h

Dragon Knight

20%

0% 24h

Phoenix

20%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Axe

20%

0%

Drow Ranger

19%

0%

Brewmaster

18%

0%

Dazzle

17%

0%

Slardar

17%

0%

Largo

17%

0%

Dark Seer

16%

0%

Enchantress

16%

-7%

Bloodseeker

16%

-13%

Zeus

16%

-19%

Juggernaut

16%

-12%

Kez

15%

-9%

Lifestealer

13%

-5%

Clockwerk

12%

-8%

Batrider

11%

-12%

Snapfire

11%

+9%

Shadow Fiend

10%

-10%

Rubick

9%

+16%

Centaur Warrunner

8%

Ursa

8%

-12%

Gyrocopter

7%

-6%

Earth Spirit

7%

+3%

Void Spirit

7%

0%

Puck

4%

+21%

Windranger

4%

-14%

Mars

4%

0%

Razor

4%

Sand King

4%

-21%

Invoker

4%

-9%

Nyx Assassin

4%

-18%

Primal Beast

4%

+13%

Faceless Void

4%

-13%

Silencer

4%

-13%

Muerta

4%

+13%

Pugna

4%

-7%

Grimstroke

4%

+21%

Ember Spirit

4%

-14%

Pangolier

4%

+17%

Lina

4%

-8%

Tiny

4%

-7%

Dawnbreaker

4%

Sven

3%

Spectre

3%

-8%

Ringmaster

2%

+13%

Storm Spirit

2%

-5%

Io

1%

+19%

Morphling

0%

-21%

Legion Commander

0%

Lion

0%

+8%

Tidehunter

0%

-8%

Viper

0%

-14%

Venomancer

0%

-6%

Nature's Prophet

0%

-6%

Beastmaster

0%

-8%

Doom

0%

-15%

Death Prophet

0%

-8%

Bounty Hunter

0%

-8%

Spirit Breaker

0%

-11%

Shadow Demon

0%

-10%

Phantom Lancer

0%

-8%

Treant Protector

0%

-10%

Luna

0%

-9%

Templar Assassin

0%

-9%

Naga Siren

0%

-4%

Magnus

0%

-7%

Tusk

0%

+7%

Elder Titan

0%

-8%

Terrorblade

0%

-7%

Techies

0%

-6%

Oracle

0%

-9%

Winter Wyvern

0%

-11%

Arc Warden

0%

-4%

Monkey King

0%

-12%

Ogre Magi

0%

-9%

Phantom Assassin

0%

-10%

Enigma

0%

-7%

Riki

0%

-20%

Wraith King

0%

-7%

Bane

0%

+19%

Undying

0%

Timbersaw

0%

-3%

Dark Willow

0%

+4%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Mars moved lower from 26.1% to 4.0% (-22.1 points) between 2026-08-10T01:56:06.229Z and 2026-08-15T20:56:04.285Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

No major update has changed the story in 19 days.

Latest update

Mars in The International 2026: Most Picked Hero market drops: Yes odds 26.1% → 4%

Mars moved lower from 26.1% to 4.0% (-22.1 points) between 2026-08-10T01:56:06.229Z and 2026-08-15T20:56:04.285Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Mars" outcome in "The International 2026: Most Picked Hero" made a sharp move from 26.1% to 4.0% between 2026-08-10T01:56:06.229Z and 2026-08-15T20:56:04.285Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by -22.1 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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