By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to the listed hero picked the most times during The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13 – August 23, 2026 in Shanghai, China.
Current leader
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1 outcome
Will Mars Be the Most Picked Hero at The International 2026?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
MonitoringMonitoring onlyMars moved lower from 26.1% to 4.0% (-22.1 points) between 2026-08-10T01:56:06.229Z and 2026-08-15T20:56:04.285Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Mars: 26% → 4%
-22.1 ppStory so far
Recently updatedMars moved lower from 26.1% to 4.0% (-22.1 points) between 2026-08-10T01:56:06.229Z and 2026-08-15T20:56:04.285Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
The "Mars" outcome in "The International 2026: Most Picked Hero" made a sharp move from 26.1% to 4.0% between 2026-08-10T01:56:06.229Z and 2026-08-15T20:56:04.285Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
The measured move
Mars: 26.1% → 4.0%
The market repriced by -22.1 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve to the listed hero picked the most times during The International 2026 (TI 15), scheduled for August 13 – August 23, 2026 in Shanghai, China. Only completed games will be considered for the purposes of this market, including forfeits in games that start. In the case of a tie, this market will resolve to the hero with the higher win percentage.
In case a tie persists, this market will resolve to the hero with higher ban rate. In case a tie still persists, the market will resolve to the hero whose name comes first alphabetically. If a match does not complete for any reason, it will not be considered for the purposes of this market.
If the competition is cancelled, postponed after September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results of The International 2026 are not determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Dotabuff. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 3 significant updates
Mars in The International 2026: Most Picked Hero market drops: Yes odds 26.1% → 4%
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