closedPolitics

Ted Cruz # posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 13, 2026, 3:52 PM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move+28.9 pp 24h

24h volume: $1.1K
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 13, 2026, 4:00 PM UTC

Top candidates

2 outcomes

Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
+28.9 pp 24h100%
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
-21.4 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 13

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? — probability falls to 0.5%

This outcome moved down 11.5 percentage points, from 12% to 0.5%.

Yes: 12% → 1%

-11.5 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The figures come from the observed market prices over the stated window. They show a change in pricing, without identifying the event or information that prompted it.
The measured move
Yes: 12.0% → 0.5%
What changed
Probability moved from 12% to 0.5% (-11.5 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 53 seconds apart: 2026-10-13 15:42:47 UTC to 2026-10-13 15:52:40 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between October 6, 12:00 PM ET and October 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Maps and resolution sources

xtracker.polymarket.comxtracker.polymarket.com

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? — probability falls to 0.5%

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