activeCultureCloses Oct 18

"Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 15, 2026, 4:50 PM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve according to how much "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

Current leader

0.1%

Largest 24h move0.0 pp 24h

24h volume: $13.4
Liquidity: $26.1K
Scheduled close: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m?
0.0 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring onlyOct 15

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? — probability falls to 4.3%

The observed probability fell from 4.35% to 4.3%, a decrease of 0.05 percentage points.

Yes: 4% → 4%

-0.1 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

This update compares two recorded market observations. The price change describes trading in this contract; the available data does not establish its cause.
The measured move
Yes: 4.3% → 4.3%
What changed
Probability moved from 4.35% to 4.3% (-0.05 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 57 seconds apart: 2026-10-15 16:40:35 UTC to 2026-10-15 16:50:32 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to how much "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers ( page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 16 - 18) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Read the complete resolution rules

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both and have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 7 significant updates

Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? — probability falls to 4.3%

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