What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?
- Current leader
- $7,800 (HIGH) in December 61%
- Largest 24h move
- $7,800 (HIGH) in December +7%
- 24h volume
- 4.1K
- Liquidity
- 34.3K
Top candidates
8 outcomes
$7,800 (HIGH) in December
61%
+7% 24h
$6,200 (LOW) in December
33%
+1% 24h
$8,200 (HIGH) in December
25%
-2% 24h
$5,800 (LOW) in December
21%
0% 24h
$8,600 (HIGH) in December
14%
-3% 24h
Show all outcomes
$5,200 (LOW) in December
13%
-1%
$9,300 (HIGH) in December
10%
-0%
$4,500 (LOW) in December
7%
+1%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?
Living timeline · 2 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest $7,800 (HIGH) in December probability of 77%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 20 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December moved lower from 73.5% to 60.5% (-13.0 points) between 2026-06-23T00:00:12.000Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:47.509Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December" outcome in "What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?" made a sharp move from 73.5% to 60.5% between 2026-06-23T00:00:12.000Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:47.509Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -13.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.