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SurgeMonitoring onlyAbha Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: Draw at halftime? — probability rises to 90.5%
The tracked probability rose to 90.5%, up 5.0 percentage points from 85.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 86% → 91%
+5.0 pp