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Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026.

Current leader

53%

53%

Largest 24h move+7.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$80.7
Liquidity
$105
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch?

    +7.5 pp 24h53%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 51%

The tracked probability fell to 51%, down 10.0 percentage points from 61% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 61% → 51%

-10.0 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 51%, down 10.0 percentage points from 61% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 61% to 51% (-10 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:46:22.190Z to 2026-10-21T03:02:30.010Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 61% → 51%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 61% to 51% (-10 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 8 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 02:46:22 UTC to 2026-10-21 03:02:30 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 54.5% to 62.5% (+8 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:46:35.952Z to 2026-10-21T00:01:44.863Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 65% to 54.5% (-10.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:30:11.433Z to 2026-10-20T23:46:35.952Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 56.5% to 65% (+8.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:17:47.845Z to 2026-10-20T23:30:11.433Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 51.5% to 56.5% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T23:02:19.474Z to 2026-10-20T23:17:47.845Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 48% to 53.5% (+5.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:31:56.258Z to 2026-10-20T20:51:55.691Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 51% to 48% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T17:17:53.815Z to 2026-10-20T17:31:56.258Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 48% to 51% (+3 percentage points), from 2026-10-20T14:17:37.347Z to 2026-10-20T14:30:30.463Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch.

Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) does not count. Songs added later via post-launch updates, DLC, or radio station updates will not count toward resolution. If GTA VI fails to release by December 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official announcements regarding GTA VI's in-game radio stations, in-game verification after release, or reliable reporting from credible gaming outlets confirming the in-game radio station tracklists.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 51%

Keep exploring

Plunge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 51%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 62.5%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Plunge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 54.5%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 65%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 56.5%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 53.5%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Plunge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 48%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 51%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Plunge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 48%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 51%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Plunge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability falls to 48%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Surge

Will "Pepas" by Farruko be on the radio in GTA VI at launch? — probability rises to 51%

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

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