This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title.
Current leader
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4 outcomes
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on October 17?
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 17?
Will the price of Solana be between $150 and $160 on October 17?
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on October 17?
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 1.35%, down 3.0 percentage points from 4.35% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 4% → 1%
-3.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability fell to 1.35%, down 3.0 percentage points from 4.35% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 4.35% to 1.35% (-3 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T01:17:37.565Z to 2026-10-16T01:32:23.642Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 4.35% → 1.35%
Probability moved from 4.35% to 1.35% (-3 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 46 seconds apart: 2026-10-16 01:17:37 UTC to 2026-10-16 01:32:23 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 8.4% to 1.45% (-6.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T00:45:28.055Z to 2026-10-16T01:00:08.613Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 5.65% to 1.55% (-4.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T00:45:28.055Z to 2026-10-16T01:00:08.613Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1.4% to 7% (+5.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-16T00:16:08.882Z to 2026-10-16T00:30:29.870Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 49.45% to 1.4% (-48.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z to 2026-10-15T20:17:59.729Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 43.1% to 1.45% (-41.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:49:04.724Z to 2026-10-15T20:01:52.223Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 48.2% to 43.1% (-5.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:20:35.747Z to 2026-10-15T19:49:04.724Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 1.4% to 49.45% (+48.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-15T19:10:45.589Z to 2026-10-15T19:20:35.747Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Will the price of Solana be between $140 and $150 on October 17? — probability falls to 1.35%
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