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Solana price on October 14?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title.

Current leader

100%

100%

Largest 24h move+25.9 pp 24h
24h volume
$1.6K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

3 outcomes

  • Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14?

    +25.9 pp 24h100%
  • Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 14?

    -24.1 pp 24h0%
  • Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 14?

    -0.6 pp 24h0%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 99.95%

The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 6.2 percentage points from 93.75% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 94% → 100%

+6.2 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 6.2 percentage points from 93.75% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.

    The measured move

    Yes: 93.8% → 100.0%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 93.75% to 99.95% (+6.2 percentage points). Observations were 10 minutes 14 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 15:52:19 UTC to 2026-10-14 16:02:33 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official disclosures or data releases, sustained volume, and whether later observations confirm the move.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 99.95%

Keep exploring

Surge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 99.95%

Solana price on October 14?

Plunge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability falls to 93.7%

Solana price on October 14?

Surge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 98%

Solana price on October 14?

Plunge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability falls to 93.4%

Solana price on October 14?

Surge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 98.05%

Solana price on October 14?

Plunge

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 14? — probability falls to 1.3%

Solana price on October 14?

Plunge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability falls to 90.65%

Solana price on October 14?

Surge

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 14? — probability rises to 11.25%

Solana price on October 14?

Surge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 96.5%

Solana price on October 14?

Plunge

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 14? — probability falls to 3.2%

Solana price on October 14?

Surge

Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 14? — probability rises to 88.5%

Solana price on October 14?

Plunge

Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on October 14? — probability falls to 7.3%

Solana price on October 14?

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