More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 28 at 1:30 PM ET.
Current leader
7.3%
7%
1 outcome
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: AC Milan 1st Half O/U 2.5
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 7%, up 3.9 percentage points from 3.15% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 3% → 7%
+3.9 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe tracked probability rose to 7%, up 3.9 percentage points from 3.15% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.15% to 7% (+3.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T18:34:37.795Z to 2026-10-27T21:23:34.801Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Over: 3.15% → 7%
Probability moved from 3.15% to 7% (+3.85 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 48 minutes 57 seconds apart: 2026-10-27 18:34:37 UTC to 2026-10-27 21:23:34 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 12.95% to 3.15% (-9.8 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T16:35:21.292Z to 2026-10-27T18:34:37.795Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 6.95% to 12.95% (+6 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T12:04:07.812Z to 2026-10-27T16:35:21.292Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.1% to 6.95% (+3.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-27T10:47:50.749Z to 2026-10-27T12:04:07.812Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for October 28 at 1:30 PM ET.
Living timeline · 4 significant updates
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: AC Milan 1st Half O/U 2.5 — probability rises to 7%
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