This is a market on predicting the recipient of the Pump.fun airdrop.
Current leader
14.5%
14%
Largest 24h move-2.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$28.3
Liquidity
$2.2K
Scheduled close
Top candidates
1 outcome
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
-2.5 pp 24h14%
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
MonitoringMonitoring only
Pump.fun perform an airdrop drops: Yes odds 26% → 14.5%
Yes moved lower from 26.0% to 14.5% (-11.5 points) between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Yes moved lower from 26.0% to 14.5% (-11.5 points) between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Known catalysts
Supported by the sources below
No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
The "Yes" outcome in "Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026" made a sharp move from 26.0% to 14.5% between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
The measured move
Yes: 26.0% → 14.5%
What changed
The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official description
How this market is decided
Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
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Source market
Prices come from Polymarket
Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.