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Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

Post

This is a market on predicting the recipient of the Pump.fun airdrop.

Current leader

14.5%

14%

Largest 24h move-2.5 pp 24h
24h volume
$28.3
Liquidity
$2.2K
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026

    -2.5 pp 24h14%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

MonitoringMonitoring only

Pump.fun perform an airdrop drops: Yes odds 26% → 14.5%

Yes moved lower from 26.0% to 14.5% (-11.5 points) between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Yes: 26% → 14%

-11.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

Yes moved lower from 26.0% to 14.5% (-11.5 points) between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Yes" outcome in "Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026" made a sharp move from 26.0% to 14.5% between 2026-07-13T15:00:23.000Z and 2026-07-14T15:30:05.042Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    The measured move

    Yes: 26.0% → 14.5%

    What changed

    The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This is a market on predicting the recipient of the Pump.fun airdrop.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Pump.fun perform an airdrop drops: Yes odds 26% → 14.5%

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Source market

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Figures refresh periodically, not tick by tick. PolySays explains markets; it doesn’t run one or give trading advice.

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