Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlySpread: UD Santarém (-3.5) — probability falls to 0.05%
The latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 33.05% at the start of the window.
UD Santarém: 33% → 0%
-33.0 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
More markets for the Taca de Portugal game, scheduled for October 14 at 10:00 AM ET.
Current leader
100%
100%
12 outcomes
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 3.5
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: Both Teams to Score
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: UD Santarém O/U 1.5
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: UD Santarém O/U 0.5
100%
+50.0 pp
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: UD Santarém 2nd Half O/U 0.5
100%
+50.0 pp
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
100%
+50.0 pp
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: 2nd Half O/U 3.5
100%
+50.0 pp
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: 2nd Half O/U 1.5
100%
+50.0 pp
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: Gil Vicente FC 2nd Half O/U 1.5
100%
+50.0 pp
UD Santarém vs. Gil Vicente FC: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
100%
+50.0 pp
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 33.05% at the start of the window.
UD Santarém: 33% → 0%
-33.0 ppStory so far
Recently updatedThe latest observation puts this outcome at 0.05%, compared with 33.05% at the start of the window.
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story
No public sources are attached yet.
Odds chart
Living timeline
This brief records how the contract was priced at two points in time. The direction and size of the move are measured; a reason for the move has not been verified.
The measured move
UD Santarém: 33.1% → 0.1%
Probability moved from 33.05% to 0.05% (-33 percentage points). Observations were 12 minutes 6 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 19:57:13 UTC to 2026-10-14 20:09:19 UTC.
Watch subsequent price observations and reporting that addresses the contract's exact conditions. Market prices do not determine the official outcome.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
More markets for the Taca de Portugal game, scheduled for October 14 at 10:00 AM ET.
Living timeline · 12 significant updates
Spread: UD Santarém (-3.5) — probability falls to 0.05%
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