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Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 1,000.

Current leader

61%

61%

Largest 24h move-2.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$26.1
Liquidity
$306.2
Scheduled close

Top candidates

1 outcome

  • Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

    -2.0 pp 24h61%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

PlungeMonitoring only

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 63%

The tracked probability fell to 63%, down 3.5 percentage points from 66.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 67% → 63%

-3.5 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability fell to 63%, down 3.5 percentage points from 66.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 66.5% to 63% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T08:00:56.243Z to 2026-10-19T08:17:01.588Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 66.5% → 63%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 66.5% to 63% (-3.5 percentage points). Observations were 16 minutes 5 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 08:00:56 UTC to 2026-10-19 08:17:01 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 68% to 64.5% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T07:17:00.999Z to 2026-10-19T07:32:51.209Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 63% to 68% (+5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T05:30:12.673Z to 2026-10-19T05:47:09.235Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 65.5% to 68.5% (+3 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T04:15:21.343Z to 2026-10-19T04:30:04.529Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 69.5% to 65.5% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T04:01:27.980Z to 2026-10-19T04:15:21.343Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 72.5% to 69% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T00:32:42.421Z to 2026-10-19T00:45:47.137Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 68% to 72.5% (+4.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T00:17:26.638Z to 2026-10-19T00:32:42.421Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 42.5% to 69% (+26.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T20:31:57.845Z to 2026-10-18T20:45:05.129Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of rushing yards the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 1,000.

Resolves No

Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many rushing yards the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

Read the complete resolution rules

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 63%

Keep exploring

Plunge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 63%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Plunge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 64.5%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Surge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 68%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Surge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 68.5%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Plunge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 65.5%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Plunge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 69%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Surge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 72.5%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Surge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 69%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Plunge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 43%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Surge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 49.5%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Plunge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 38.5%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

Surge

Will Kyren Williams have 1,000+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 65%

Pro Football: 2026-27 1,000+ Rushing Yards

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