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Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 10.

Current leader

46.1%

46%

Largest 24h move+17.4 pp 24h
24h volume
$0
Liquidity
$41.3
Scheduled close

Top candidates

2 outcomes

  • Will A.J. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

    +17.4 pp 24h46%
  • Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?

    -0.8 pp 24h17%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring only

Will A.J. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 46.05%

The tracked probability rose to 46.05%, up 32.6 percentage points from 13.4% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 13% → 46%

+32.6 pp
Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Recently updated

The tracked probability rose to 46.05%, up 32.6 percentage points from 13.4% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

A sourced or deterministic market update is available.

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

  • Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 13.4% to 46.05% (+32.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T07:04:50.573Z to 2026-10-21T09:30:13.568Z (UTC).

    Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.

    The measured move

    Yes: 13.4% → 46.05%

    What changed

    Probability moved from 13.4% to 46.05% (+32.65 percentage points). Observations were 2 hours 25 minutes 23 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 07:04:50 UTC to 2026-10-21 09:30:13 UTC.

    What to watch next

    Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

  2. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 23.25% to 12.6% (-10.65 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).

  3. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 27% to 23.25% (-3.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:01:02.792Z to 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z (UTC).

  4. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 7.95% to 16.8% (+8.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:02:56.817Z to 2026-10-21T04:20:41.613Z (UTC).

  5. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 17.55% to 7.95% (-9.6 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:47:54.820Z to 2026-10-21T04:02:56.817Z (UTC).

  6. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 11.8% to 17.55% (+5.75 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T03:17:32.619Z to 2026-10-21T03:32:02.969Z (UTC).

  7. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability fell from 16.65% to 11.4% (-5.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z to 2026-10-21T02:46:22.190Z (UTC).

  8. Coverage updated

    Observed movement

    Observed probability rose from 11.4% to 16.65% (+5.25 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T02:17:52.020Z to 2026-10-21T02:30:47.318Z (UTC).

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of receiving touchdowns the listed player records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 10.

Resolves No

Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No".

Only regular season games count. Playoff games, including Wild Card, Divisional, Conference Championship, and Pro Football Championship games, do not count. If the listed player does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many receiving touchdowns the listed player recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".

Read the complete resolution rules

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will A.J. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 46.05%

Keep exploring

Surge

Will A.J. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 46.05%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Plunge

Will A.J. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 12.6%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Plunge

Will A.J. Brown have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 23.25%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Surge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 16.8%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Plunge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 7.95%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Surge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 17.55%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Plunge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 11.4%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Surge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 16.65%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Plunge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 11.4%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Surge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 16.55%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Plunge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability falls to 13.95%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

Surge

Will Rome Odunze have 10+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? — probability rises to 22.75%

Pro Football: 2026-27 10+ Receiving Touchdowns

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