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"Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Oct 12, 2026, 3:40 AM UTCEditorial method

This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.

Current leader

100%

Largest 24h move+5.0 pp 24h

24h volume: $5.3K
Liquidity: $0
Closed: Oct 11, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m?
+5.0 pp 24h100%

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

SurgeMonitoring onlyOct 12

Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? — probability rises to 98.3%

The tracked probability rose to 98.3%, up 3.8 percentage points from 94.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.

Yes: 95% → 98%

+3.8 pp

Sources and full timeline

Story so far

Known catalysts

Supported by the sources below

No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

What the evidence doesn’t settle

Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

Public sources opened for this story

No public sources are attached yet.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

The probability change is measured directly from the market observations. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied. This note records market behavior only and does not infer a reason for the move.
The measured move
Yes: 94.5% → 98.3%
What changed
Probability moved from 94.5% to 98.3% (+3.8 percentage points). Observations were 9 minutes 32 seconds apart: 2026-10-12 03:30:48 UTC to 2026-10-12 03:40:20 UTC.
What to watch next
Watch for official confirmation, independent reporting, sustained volume, and whether later market observations hold the new level.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to how much "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers ( page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (October 9 - 11) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.

Read the complete resolution rules

If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both and have confirmed their finalized figures. If there is no final data available by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Maps and resolution sources

Living timeline · 12 significant updates

Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? — probability rises to 98.3%

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